Cellphones: Making Money Cash

New to the investing game and interested in learning some metrics that can help you analyze a company’s prospects? If so, this can be a great place to start your education.

To create the list of stocks below we have pulled together several financial analyst metrics to find companies with bullish indicators. Each term is defined in detail to help you perform your own analysis.

In making this list we focused on cash flow growth - arguably one of the most important considerations in the financial analysis of a company. While earnings and net worth are subject to management estimates, cash flow is very difficult to alter.

We wanted to search for companies exhibiting positive trends in cash flow growth. We began by screening for those companies that also had a high compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in free operating cash flow (above 20%) for the past 3 years. We then focused on the names that remain significantly undervalued to their mean analyst target price.

These companies also have higher earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) than debt for the last year. Lastly, we narrowed down our list by those experiencing significant increases in institutional buying over the current quarter.

Don’t fully understand these terms? Let’s take a look at what each of these metrics mean and why they are important:

Compound Annual Growth Rate - CAGR
This is the year-over-year growth rate of an investment over a given time. In this article, we used CAGR with Free Operating Cash flow (see below). When a company has a high Free OCF growth rate, it means the company has become increasingly efficient in generating cash from the running its business.

Free Operating Cash Flow
Free operating cash flow (FOCF) is the total operating cash flow minus all operating expenditures, such as wages, repairs, and depreciation. Strong free cash flow signals a company's ability to pay debt, dividends, and invest in their business growth.

Institutional Buying
Institutional investors are also known as "big money" investors or managers. They represent big pools of money such as investment banks, pension funds, mutual funds, hedge funds, endowment funds, etc. When they invest in stocks, they can invest hundreds of thousands of dollars or more at one time.

Regular investors pay attention to what institutional investors do because it is easy enough to assume that the big money managers know what they are doing -- or at the very least know more than the average investor. This is why these investors are also sometimes referred to as "smart money.” Note, investors should never blindly trust analysts or institutional investors or anybody else. Use information on institutional investing with other research before making any investing decisions.

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA)
This is an indicator of financial performance calculated as: Revenue – Expenses (excluding tax, interest, depreciation and amortization). Usually it is used as a proxy for what is available to pay interest. It is useful to compare EBITDA to debt, as EBITDA is earnings available before paying off interest on debt.

Target Price
Analyst target prices can be very useful guides for investors. The target price is a price level set by analysts that, based on their data and estimates, represents their predictions for that company in the upcoming year. Because analysts often have different opinions, we use the average analyst target price.
Although target price is upwardly biased, a steep discount from this number can indicate an undervalued opportunity.

Given the data points, do you think these companies are undervalued? Are institutions making the right moves? Use the list below as a starting-off point for your own analysis.

Analyze These Ideas (Tools Will Open In A New Window)
1. Access a thorough description of all companies mentioned
2. Compare analyst ratings for all stocks mentioned below
3. Visualize annual returns for all stocks mentioned

1. Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ): Services Industry. Market cap $797.63M. Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 3.2M, representing 14.76% of the 21.68M share float. 3-year CAGR of free operating cash flow at 75.70%. Last year EBITDA at $53.76M vs. total debt at $0. Current price at $25.73 vs. target price at $30.88 (implies a potential upside of 20.02%).

2. Synaptics, Incorporated (SYNA): Technology Industry. Market cap $887.42M. Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 4.3M, representing 12.66% of the 33.96M share float. 3-year CAGR of free operating cash flow at 72.34%. Last year EBITDA at $70.36M vs. total debt at $2.3M. Current price at $25.91 vs. target price at $32.68 (implies a potential upside of 26.14%).

3. Ebix, Inc. (EBIX): Technology Industry. Market cap $762.17M. Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 3.7M, representing 10.87% of the 34.03M share float. 3-year CAGR of free operating cash flow at 56.61%. Last year EBITDA at $58.54M vs. total debt at $35.57M. Current price at $19.31 vs. target price at $29.50 (implies a potential upside of 52.77%).

4. LogMeIn, Inc. (LOGM): Technology Industry. Market cap $901.88M. Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 2.0M, representing 9.81% of the 20.38M share float. 3-year CAGR of free operating cash flow at 165.17%. Last year EBITDA at $21.91M vs. total debt at $0. Current price at $37.5 vs. target price at $50.43 (implies a potential upside of 34.48%).

5. KongZhong Corporation (ADR) (KONG): Services Industry. Market cap $191.87M. Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 530.4K, representing 9.4% of the 5.64M share float. 3-year CAGR of free operating cash flow at 159.85%. Last year EBITDA at $10.16M vs. total debt at $3.55M. Current price at $5.08 vs. target price at $10.00 (implies a potential upside of 96.85%).

6. Travelzoo Inc. (TZOO): Services Industry. Market cap $1108.25M. Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 517.8K, representing 9.35% of the 5.54M share float. 3-year CAGR of free operating cash flow at 34.87%. Last year EBITDA at $25.86M vs. total debt at $0. Current price at $67.33 vs. target price at $109.40 (implies a potential upside of 62.48%).

7. OpenTable Inc. (OPEN): Technology Industry. Market cap $1943.46M. Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 2.0M, representing 9.11% of the 21.95M share float. 3-year CAGR of free operating cash flow at 61.46%. Last year EBITDA at $25.48M vs. total debt at $0. Current price at $82.56 vs. target price at $104.70 (implies a potential upside of 26.82%).

8. LHC Group, Inc. (LHCG): Healthcare Industry. Market cap $440.8M. Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 1.4M, representing 8.91% of the 15.72M share float. 3-year CAGR of free operating cash flow at 90.95%. Last year EBITDA at $103.15M vs. total debt at $0. Current price at $23.61 vs. target price at $28.70 (implies a potential upside of 21.56%).

9. AsiaInfo-Linkage, Inc. (ASIA): Technology Industry. Market cap $1245.54M. Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 4.0M, representing 8.86% of the 45.15M share float. 3-year CAGR of free operating cash flow at 21.01%. Last year EBITDA at $84.95M vs. total debt at $0. Current price at $16.96 vs. target price at $26.92 (implies a potential upside of 58.72%).

10. ION Geophysical Corporation (IO): Energy Industry. Market cap $1533.94M. Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 8.9M, representing 7.78% of the 114.35M share float. 3-year CAGR of free operating cash flow at 55.92%. Last year EBITDA at $180.43M vs. total debt at $108.66M. Current price at $9.89 vs. target price at $14.00 (implies a potential upside of 41.56%).

(List compiled by Becca Lipman)

Holding on to unclaimed property could soon begin hurting corporate bottom lines as cash-strapped states adjust their escheatment policies in an effort to raise revenues. States are changing the rules regarding the seizure of lost property, changing the reporting requirements for corporations that must report unclaimed property, and increasing audit activity and the size of fines, all in an effort to speed up the process that awards unclaimed funds to their rightful owners or to the state.

An area of compliance that hasn’t generated a lot of concern from corporate secretaries may soon command their attention – but not in a good way. Fines for non-compliance can be in the millions.

‘We’re seeing states increase the number of audits that they conduct in an effort to induce penalties, fines and interest fees,’ says Karen Anderson, vice president of compliance at Unclaimed Property Recovery and Reporting, which provides pre-escheatment owner location services to corporations.

‘States are also changing the extent of what needs to be reported – for example, making it clear that they want the social security numbers and even email addresses of the owners of lost property,’ Anderson says. Such changes have financial implications for companies because internal systems and controls may need to be adjusted in order to meet the new standards of compliance.

John Buonomo, senior vice president of regulatory services for AST, says the dormancy periods for unclaimed property continue to shrink, which means companies have to be more diligent about alerting the state that the time owners have to collect their property has expired. He says most states used to have five-year dormancy periods, with some at seven years, but now ‘there are no sevens and very few fives; almost everyone is at three years, with a few states pushing to move to two years on certain assets.’

Time is short

Unclaimed property laws in 48 states and Washington, DC have dormancy periods that are triggered by inactivity, so companies need to be aware of the length of time that each state believes constitutes ‘inactivity’. The faster the dormancy period is reached, the faster the states can start assessing fines or collecting lost assets for their coffers.

Increasing the number of audits also increases the opportunities to collect fines. Buonomo says California was one of the first states to begin aggressively fining companies, but Michigan is implementing fines this year and other states are following. Experts estimate that in most states, only 15 percent to 35 percent of all companies are in full compliance with escheatment laws, so enforcement could yield a pretty penny.

The cost to some companies could be huge. On unclaimed property consulting firm Keane’s website, a blog post written by chief compliance officer Debbie Zumoff and Valerie Jundt, the managing director of Keane National Consulting and Advisory Services, warns that ‘because there’s virtually no statute of limitations for unclaimed property in most states, the time frame for compliance may be expanded, creating the need to estimate liability for historical years. This can result in an increase in the known liability by three to eight times, translating into millions of dollars potentially owed to states in fines and penalties.’

And states are ramping up efforts to collect, with the backing of the courts. Insurer John Hancock has been involved in three collection actions already this year – a $20 million unclaimed property settlement in California, an agreement to establish a $10 million fund to repay beneficiaries and supply an additional payment of $3 million to three regulatory agencies in Florida, and a settlement with Louisiana, 35 states and the District of Columbia to recover unclaimed insurance proceeds.

Financial institutions such as John Hancock have become prime targets for states that have stepped up enforcement of escheatment laws. Jundt identified several areas where financial institutions were particularly vulnerable to liability in a recent article she penned for Bankers Digest. During an audit, states may find that financial institutions have not properly identified potential unclaimed property that should be included in their annual reports, have forgotten to return small loan credit balances to customers, have not followed up proactively to reactivate customers’ dormant accounts, or have simply made filings to the wrong state. Because financial institutions deal with massive amounts of money and potentially millions of customers, mistakes are often duplicated many times over, and this can lead to multiple fines that can add up to millions of dollars.

Staying in compliance

To avoid state actions, Anderson suggests companies reassess their policies and procedures on unclaimed property to make sure that they are in line with state regulations. Some states have changed their rules concerning the types of assets that are considered unclaimed property, so being proactive about compliance before being audited will help companies to avoid fines.
‘With so many states cash-strapped and extending their reach, being proactive has never been more important than now,’ says Anderson.

Companies should also review the effectiveness of their unclaimed property efforts more regularly, looking for ways to improve efficiency. A quarterly review of company procedures involving reaching out to unclaimed property owners or exploring new options for locating beneficiaries is a positive step.

Buonomo, whose company helps stock issuers locate the owners of lost shares, says stock issuers, who often find themselves in the position of locating beneficiaries of shareholders who have died or forgotten about shares, should consider implementing escheatment programs that can handle unclaimed property issues in the future. He says such programs, which actively seek out the owners of unclaimed property and return it to them, can have a positive effect on the reputation of a company. Stock issuers usually don’t pay for programs that return shares to shareholders – instead, companies charge the shareholders a fee for alerting them to their lost asset. Even thought they have to pay a little to get hold of their assets, customers will generally think highly of a company that is honest enough to return money to them that they didn’t know they had coming.

Such programs can also protect corporate secretaries and investor relations executives from the wrath of their boards. ‘If you get hit with a $500,000 fine from California for being late on escheatment of property, no exec is going to be able to explain that away to the board,’ Buonomo says.

[Article by Matthew Scott, Corporate Secretary]

Cellphones

Monday, August 1, 2011

Making Money Cash

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